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  <title>Can you hear me?</title>
  <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/" />
  <modified>2009-10-18T21:46:28Z</modified>
  <tagline>The medium contains a message.</tagline>
  <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2009://1</id>
  <generator url="http://www.movabletype.org/" version="2.661">Movable Type</generator>
  <copyright>Copyright (c) 2009, Alan</copyright>
  <entry>
    <title>Wall Street Smarts</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000116.html" />
    <modified>2009-10-18T21:46:28Z</modified>
    <issued>2009-10-18T23:46:28+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2009://1.116</id>
    <created>2009-10-18T21:46:28Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">The following was stolen from the New York Times. “If you really want to know why the financial system nearly collapsed in the fall of 2008, I can tell you in one simple sentence.” The statement came from a man...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Economics</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>The following was stolen from the New York Times. </p>

<p>“If you really want to know why the financial system nearly collapsed in the fall of 2008, I can tell you in one simple sentence.”</p>

<p>The statement came from a man sitting three or four stools away from me in a sparsely populated Midtown bar, where I was waiting for a friend. “But I have to buy you a drink to hear it?” I asked.</p>

<p>“Absolutely not,” he said. “I can buy my own drinks. My 401(k) is intact. I got out of the market 8 or 10 years ago, when I saw what was happening.”</p>

<p>He did indeed look capable of buying his own drinks — one of which, a dry martini, straight up, was on the bar in front of him. He was a well-preserved, gray-haired man of about retirement age, dressed in the same sort of clothes he must have worn on some Ivy League campus in the late ’50s or early ’60s — a tweed jacket, gray pants, a blue button-down shirt and a club tie that, seen from a distance, seemed adorned with tiny brussels sprouts.</p>

<p>“O.K.,” I said. “Let’s hear it.”</p>

<p>“The financial system nearly collapsed,” he said, “because smart guys had started working on Wall Street.” He took a sip of his martini, and stared straight at the row of bottles behind the bar, as if the conversation was now over.</p>

<p>“But weren’t there smart guys on Wall Street in the first place?” I asked.</p>

<p>He looked at me the way a mathematics teacher might look at a child who, despite heroic efforts by the teacher, seemed incapable of learning the most rudimentary principles of long division. “You are either a lot younger than you look or you don’t have much of a memory,” he said. “One of the speakers at my 25th reunion said that, according to a survey he had done of those attending, income was now precisely in inverse proportion to academic standing in the class, and that was partly because everyone in the lower third of the class had become a Wall Street millionaire.”</p>

<p>I reflected on my own college class, of roughly the same era. The top student had been appointed a federal appeals court judge — earning, by Wall Street standards, tip money. A lot of the people with similarly impressive academic records became professors. I could picture the future titans of Wall Street dozing in the back rows of some gut course like Geology 101, popularly known as Rocks for Jocks.</p>

<p>“That actually sounds more or less accurate,” I said.</p>

<p>“Of course it’s accurate,” he said. “Don’t get me wrong: the guys from the lower third of the class who went to Wall Street had a lot of nice qualities. Most of them were pleasant enough. They made a good impression. And now we realize that by the standards that came later, they weren’t really greedy. They just wanted a nice house in Greenwich and maybe a sailboat. A lot of them were from families that had always been on Wall Street, so they were accustomed to nice houses in Greenwich. They didn’t feel the need to leverage the entire business so they could make the sort of money that easily supports the second oceangoing yacht.”</p>

<p>“So what happened?”</p>

<p>“I told you what happened. Smart guys started going to Wall Street.”</p>

<p>“Why?”</p>

<p>“I thought you’d never ask,” he said, making a practiced gesture with his eyebrows that caused the bartender to get started mixing another martini.</p>

<p>“Two things happened. One is that the amount of money that could be made on Wall Street with hedge fund and private equity operations became just mind-blowing. At the same time, college was getting so expensive that people from reasonably prosperous families were graduating with huge debts. So even the smart guys went to Wall Street, maybe telling themselves that in a few years they’d have so much money they could then become professors or legal-services lawyers or whatever they’d wanted to be in the first place. That’s when you started reading stories about the percentage of the graduating class of Harvard College who planned to go into the financial industry or go to business school so they could then go into the financial industry. That’s when you started reading about these geniuses from M.I.T. and Caltech who instead of going to graduate school in physics went to Wall Street to calculate arbitrage odds.”</p>

<p>“But you still haven’t told me how that brought on the financial crisis.”</p>

<p>“Did you ever hear the word ‘derivatives’?” he said. “Do you think our guys could have invented, say, credit default swaps? Give me a break! They couldn’t have done the math.”</p>

<p>“Why do I get the feeling that there’s one more step in this scenario?” I said.</p>

<p>“Because there is,” he said. “When the smart guys started this business of securitizing things that didn’t even exist in the first place, who was running the firms they worked for? Our guys! The lower third of the class! Guys who didn’t have the foggiest notion of what a credit default swap was. All our guys knew was that they were getting disgustingly rich, and they had gotten to like that. All of that easy money had eaten away at their sense of enoughness.”</p>

<p>“So having smart guys there almost caused Wall Street to collapse.”</p>

<p>“You got it,” he said. “It took you awhile, but you got it.”</p>

<p>The theory sounded too simple to be true, but right offhand I couldn’t find any flaws in it. I found myself contemplating the sort of havoc a horde of smart guys could wreak in other industries. I saw those industries falling one by one, done in by superior intelligence. “I think I need a drink,” I said.</p>

<p>He nodded at my glass and made another one of those eyebrow gestures to the bartender. “Please,” he said. “Allow me.”</p>

<p>Calvin Trillin is the author, most recently, of “Deciding the Next Decider: The 2008 Presidential Race in Rhyme.”</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Anti-tax, pro-slavery</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000115.html" />
    <modified>2009-08-08T11:57:12Z</modified>
    <issued>2009-08-08T13:57:12+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2009://1.115</id>
    <created>2009-08-08T11:57:12Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Stolen word for word(i have not read the referenced book) from Rustbelt Intellectual Berkeley historian Robin Einhorn has written a brilliant study of the origins of Americans’ aversion to high taxes. I recommend reading her book, American Taxation, American Slavery....</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Economics</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Stolen word for word(i have not read the referenced book) from <a href="http://rustbeltintellectual.blogspot.com/2009/04/what-have-romans-ever-done-for-us.html">Rustbelt Intellectual</a></p>

<p>Berkeley historian Robin Einhorn has written a brilliant study of the origins of Americans’ aversion to high taxes. I recommend reading her book, American Taxation, American Slavery. Here are some of her insights:</p>

<p>Americans are right to think that our antitax and antigovernment attitudes have deep historical roots. Our mistake is to dig for them in Boston. We should be digging in Virginia and South Carolina rather than in Massachusetts or Pennsylvania, because the origins of these attitudes have more to do with the history of American slavery than the history of American freedom. They have more to do with protections for entrenched wealth than with promises of opportunity, and more to do with the demands of privileged elites than with the strivings of the common man. Instead of reflecting a heritage that valued liberty over all other concerns, they are part of the poisonous legacy we have inherited from the slaveholders who forged much of our political tradition.</p>

<p>America's anti-tax tradition, she argues, is one of slavery's many strange fruits.</p>

<p>[S]laveholders had different priorities than other people—and special reasons to be afraid of taxes. Slaveholders had little need for transportation improvements (since their land was often already on good transportation links such as rivers) and hardly any interest in an educated workforce (it was illegal to teach slaves to read and write because slaveholders thought education would help African Americans seize their freedom). Slaveholders wanted the military, not least to promote the westward expansion of slavery, and they also wanted local police forces ("slave patrols") to protect them against rebellious slaves. They wanted all manner of government action to protect slavery, while they tended to dismiss everything else as wasteful government spending.</p>

<p>Her sobering conclusion:</p>

<p>The irony is that the slaveholding elites of early American history have come down to us as the champions of liberty and democracy. In a political campaign whose audacity we can only admire, charismatic slaveholders persuaded many of their contemporaries—and then generations of historians looking back—that the elites who threatened American liberty in their era were the nonslaveholders! Today, this brand of politics looks eerily familiar. We have experience with political parties that attack "elites" in order to rally voters behind policies that benefit elites. This is what the slaveholders did in early American history, and they did it very well. Expansions of slavery became expansions of "liberty," constitutional limitations on democratic self-government became defenses of "equal rights," and the power of slaveholding elites became the power of the "common man." In the topsy-turvy political world we have inherited from the age of slavery, the power of the majority to decide how to tax became the power of an alien "government" to oppress "the people."</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Maritime Shipping and Global Warming</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000114.html" />
    <modified>2009-04-10T09:19:39Z</modified>
    <issued>2009-04-10T11:19:39+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2009://1.114</id>
    <created>2009-04-10T09:19:39Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Shipping is responsible for 18-30% of all the world&apos;s nitrogen oxide (NOx) pollution and 9% of the global sulphur oxide (SOx) pollution. One large ship can generate about 5,000 tonnes of sulphur oxide (SOx) pollution in a year 70% of...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Environment</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Shipping is responsible for 18-30% of all the world's nitrogen oxide (NOx) pollution and 9% of the global sulphur oxide (SOx) pollution.</p>

<p>One large ship can generate about 5,000 tonnes of sulphur oxide (SOx) pollution in a year</p>

<p>70% of all ship emissions are within 400km of land.</p>

<p>85% of all ship pollution is in the northern hemisphere.</p>

<p>Shipping is responsible for 3.5% to 4% of all climate change emissions.</p>

<p>http://www.airclim.org/<br />
</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>A Bit of Perspective</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000113.html" />
    <modified>2008-12-26T12:57:32Z</modified>
    <issued>2008-12-26T13:57:32+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2008://1.113</id>
    <created>2008-12-26T12:57:32Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Often accused of being too self-absorbed, I thought that I would throw this criticism back in the faces of others with the following graphic dose of reality. Hat tip to Strange Maps. Incidentally, for those of you arrogant Americaphiles who...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Perspective</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Often accused of being too self-absorbed, I thought that I would throw this criticism back in the faces of others with the following graphic dose of reality. Hat tip to <a href="http://strangemaps.wordpress.com/">Strange Maps</a>. Incidentally, for those of you arrogant Americaphiles who just can't stand the truth, although the picture below depicts only the contiguous states, be assured that the area figure for the US does indeed include Alaska.</p>

<p><img alt="africa_in_perspective_map.jpg" src="http://www.voicemedia.net/httpdocs/images/africa_in_perspective_map.jpg" width="604" height="786" border="0" /><br />
</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>The Tragedy of War</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000112.html" />
    <modified>2008-11-02T13:33:49Z</modified>
    <issued>2008-11-02T14:33:49+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2008://1.112</id>
    <created>2008-11-02T13:33:49Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Those heroes that shed their blood and lost their lives . . . you are now lying in the soil of a friendly country. Therefore rest in peace. There is no difference between the Johnnies and the Mehmets to us...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Perspective</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Those heroes that shed their blood and lost their lives . . . you are now lying in the soil of a friendly country. Therefore rest in peace. There is no difference between the Johnnies and the Mehmets to us where they lie side by side here in this country of ours . . . . You the mothers who sent their sons from far away countries wipe away your tears. Your sons are now lying in our bosom and are in peace. Having lost their lives on this land they have become our sons as well.</p>

<p>-Kemal Attaturk<br />
(inscribed at the Attaturk memorial in Canberra, Australia</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Black Gold</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000111.html" />
    <modified>2008-09-02T18:29:21Z</modified>
    <issued>2008-09-02T20:29:21+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2008://1.111</id>
    <created>2008-09-02T18:29:21Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">I just watched a film about coffee growers in Ethiopia called &quot;Black Gold.&quot; In it I learned that, at the time of filming, coffee growers were receiving the equivalent of 23 US cents for a kilogram of coffee. That&apos;s 80...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Economics</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>I just watched a film about coffee growers in Ethiopia called <a href="http://www.blackgoldmovie.com">"Black Gold."</a> In it I learned that, at the time of filming, coffee growers were receiving the equivalent of 23 US cents for a kilogram of coffee. That's 80 cups of coffee. </p>

<p>Perhaps shooting the boards of companies like Nestlé, Sara Lee and Starbuck's would be a good start to changing this kind of exploitation?</p>

<p>Obviously, I think that economic justice for these farmers would be a better solution than wholesale executions, but I must admit I have very little sympathy for these motherfuckers unless they change their behavior.</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>The Future</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000110.html" />
    <modified>2008-05-14T19:50:53Z</modified>
    <issued>2008-05-14T21:50:53+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2008://1.110</id>
    <created>2008-05-14T19:50:53Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">&quot;It may be said with rough accuracy that there are three stages in the life of a strong people. First, it is a small power, and fights small powers. Then it is a great power, and fights great powers. Then...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>International Relations</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>"It may be said with rough accuracy that there are three stages in the life of a strong people. First, it is a small power, and fights small powers. Then it is a great power, and fights great powers. Then it is a great power, and fights small powers, but pretends that they are great powers, in order to rekindle the ashes of its ancient emotion and vanity. After that, the next step is to become a small power itself."</p>

<p>G.K. Chesterton</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>IMPRISON BUSH NOW!</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000109.html" />
    <modified>2008-04-14T14:28:05Z</modified>
    <issued>2008-04-14T16:28:05+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2008://1.109</id>
    <created>2008-04-14T14:28:05Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Perhaps we can sentence the President of the United States to life in prison without parole. (I really don&apos;t need to have a talk with the US Secret Service. I&apos;m hoping that the current President of the US will be...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Perhaps we can sentence the President of the United States to life in prison without parole. (I really don't need to have a talk with the US Secret Service. I'm hoping that the current President of the US will be imprisoned for high crimes against the US government through the criminal justice system, not through fiat.)</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>About conservatives</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000108.html" />
    <modified>2007-12-22T15:54:22Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-12-22T16:54:22+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.108</id>
    <created>2007-12-22T15:54:22Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">The following is stolen from Dave Neiwert&apos;s Orcinus blog and was written by Sara. It sums up my feelings pretty well with respect to the great majority of conservatives. When conservatives tell us that we need constant surveillance to make...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>Politics</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>The following is stolen from Dave Neiwert's Orcinus blog and was written by Sara. It sums up my feelings pretty well with respect to the great majority of conservatives.</p>

<p>When conservatives tell us that we need constant surveillance to make us secure, what they're telling us is that they themselves are prone to criminal behavior if they think nobody else is watching. The fear of exposure is the only force keeping them on the right side of the law -- and that's why it's the only form of "security" they understand. Bear this in mind if you decide to do business with them.</p>

<p>When they tell us that our future depends on supporting a military that's bigger than the rest of the world's fighting forces combined, what they're telling us is that they can't handle chaos, complexity, change, or being out of control. The whole world is a threat; the only solution is a bigger gun. Bear this in mind if you find yourself in conflict with them.</p>

<p>When they tell us diplomacy isn't an option, they're telling us that it's not an option they understand. Words, agreements, treaties, and contracts mean nothing to them. Brute force is the only option they comprehend...or are likely to respond to themselves. Bear this in mind before you negotiate with them.</p>

<p>When they tell us that homosexuality is a threat to American families, what they're telling us is that homosexuality is a threat to their families. As in: if they ever dared to admit their own sexual interest in other men, their wives would leave them, and take the kids. Bear this in mind when they hold themselves up as moral paragons.</p>

<p>When they tell us the Islamofascists are a threat to our way of life, they are quite correctly pointing out that there are fascists threatening our way of life. They're just deflecting their own intentions on to brown people far away. Bear this in mind before assuming they share your belief in constitutional democracy.</p>

<p>When they accuse reality-based folks of promoting "junk science," they're telling us they basically think all science is junk. Bear this in mind before attempting to present them with convincing evidence of anything.</p>

<p>When they tell us to support the troops, what they're really saying is: You better, because we won't. Bear this in mind when you evaluate the real costs of the war.</p>

<p>When they tell us the government can't be trusted, they're telling us they can't be trusted to govern. Bear this in mind every time you step into a voting booth.</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>
  <entry>
    <title>Torture, revisited</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000107.html" />
    <modified>2007-12-18T19:58:35Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-12-18T20:58:35+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.107</id>
    <created>2007-12-18T19:58:35Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">The following is stolen from the Manchester[New Hampshire] Union-Leader. The writer is a professor of political science at Reed College(which I attended in the early 1990s). So the CIA did indeed torture Abu Zubaida, the first al-Qaida terrorist suspect to...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
    </author>
    <dc:subject>International Relations</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>The following is stolen from the Manchester[New Hampshire] Union-Leader. The writer is a professor of political science at Reed College(which I attended in the early 1990s).</p>

<p>So the CIA did indeed torture Abu Zubaida, the first al-Qaida terrorist suspect to be waterboarded. So says John Kiriakou, the first former CIA employee directly involved in the questioning of “high-value” al-Qaida detainees to speak publicly. He minced no words last week in calling the CIA’s “enhanced interrogation techniques” what they are. But did they work? Torture’s defenders, including the wannabe tough guys who write Fox’s “24,” insist that the rough stuff gets results. “It was like flipping a switch,” said Kiriakou about Abu Zubaida’s response to being waterboarded. But the al-Qaida operative’s confessions — descriptions of fantastic plots from a man whom journalist Ron Suskind has reported was mentally ill — probably didn’t give the CIA any actionable intelligence. Of course, we may never know the whole truth, since the CIA destroyed the videotapes of Abu Zubaida’s interrogation. But here are some other myths that are bound to come up as the debate over torture rages on. </p>

<p><b>1. Torture worked for the Gestapo.</b><br />
Actually, no. Even Hitler’s notorious secret police got most of its information from public tips, informers and interagency cooperation. That was still more than enough to let the Gestapo decimate anti-Nazi resistance in Austria, Czechoslovakia, Poland, Denmark, Norway, France, Russia and the concentration camps. Yes, the Gestapo did torture people for intelligence, especially in its later years. But this reflected not torture’s efficacy but the loss of many seasoned professionals to World War II, increasingly desperate competition for intelligence among Gestapo units and an influx of less disciplined younger members. (Why do serious, tedious police work when you have a uniform and a whip?) It’s surprising how unsuccessful the Gestapo’s brutal efforts were. They failed to break senior leaders of the French, Danish, Polish and German resistance. I’ve spent more than a decade collecting all the cases of Gestapo torture “successes” in multiple languages; the number is small and the results pathetic, especially compared with the devastating effects of public cooperation and informers. </p>

<p><b>2. Everyone talks sooner or later under torture.</b><br />
Actually, it’s surprisingly hard to get anything under torture, true or false. For example, between 1500 and 1750, French prosecutors tried to torture confessions out of 785 individuals. Torture was legal back then, and the records document such practices as the bone-crushing use of splints, pumping stomachs with water until they swelled and pouring boiling oil on the feet. But the number of prisoners who said anything was low, from 3 percent in Paris to 14 percent in Toulouse (an exceptional high). Most of the time, the torturers were unable to get any statement whatsoever. And such examples could be multiplied. The Japanese fascists, no strangers to torture, said it best in their field manual, which was found in Burma during World War II: They described torture as the clumsiest possible method for gathering intelligence. Like most sensible torturers, they preferred using torture for intimidation, not information. </p>

<p><b>3. People will say anything under torture.</b> <br />
Well, no, although this is a favorite chestnut of torture’s foes. Think about it: Sure, someone would lie under torture, but wouldn’t they also lie if they were being interrogated without coercion? In fact, the problem of torture does not stem from the prisoner who has information; it stems from the prisoner who doesn’t. Such a person is also likely to lie, to say anything, often convincingly. The torture of the informed may generate no more lies than normal interrogation, but the torture of the ignorant and innocent overwhelms investigators with misleading information. In these cases, nothing is indeed preferable to anything. Anything needs to be verified, and the CIA’s own 1963 interrogation manual explains that “a time-consuming delay results” — hardly useful when every moment matters. Intelligence gathering is especially vulnerable to this problem. When police officers torture, they know what the crime is, and all they want is the confession. When intelligence officers torture, they must gather information about what they don’t know. </p>

<p><b>4. Most people can tell when someone is lying under torture.</b> <br />
Actually, no — and we know quite a bit about this. For about 40 years, psychologists have been testing police officers as well as normal people to see if they can spot lies, and the results aren’t encouraging. Ordinary folk have an accuracy rate of about 57 percent, which is pretty poor considering that 50 percent is the flip of a coin. Likewise, the cops’ accuracy rates fall between 45 percent and 65 percent — that is, sometimes less accurate than a coin toss. <br />
Why does this matter? Because even if a torturer breaks a person, the torturer has to recognize it, and most of the time they can’t. Torturers assume too much and reject what doesn’t fit their assumptions. For instance, Sheila Cassidy, a British physician, cracked under electric-shock torture by the Chilean secret service in the 1970s and identified priests who had helped the country’s socialist opposition. But her devout interrogators couldn’t believe that priests would ever help the socialists, so they tortured her for another week until they finally became convinced. By that time, she was so damaged that she couldn’t remember the location of the safe house. In fact, most torturers are nowhere near as well trained for interrogation as police are. Torturers are usually chosen because they’ve endured hardship and pain, fought with courage, kept secrets, held the right beliefs and earned a reputation as trustworthy and loyal. They often rely on folklore about what lying behavior looks like — shifty eyes, sweaty palms and so on. And, not surprisingly, they make a lot of mistakes. </p>

<p><b>5. You can train people to resist torture.</b> <br />
Supposedly, this is why we can’t know what the CIA’s “enhanced interrogation techniques” are: If Washington admits that it waterboards suspected terrorists, al-Qaida will set up “waterboarding-resistance camps” across the world. Be that as it may, the truth is that no training will help the bad guys. Simply put, nothing predicts the outcome of one’s resistance to pain better than one’s own personality. Against some personalities, nothing works; against others, practically anything does. Studies of hundreds of detainees who broke under Soviet and Chinese torture, including Army-funded studies of U.S. prisoners of war, conclude that during, before and after torture, each prisoner displayed strengths and weaknesses dependent on his or her own character. The CIA’s own “Human Resources Exploitation Manual” from 1983 and its so-called Kubark manual from 1963 agree. In all matters relating to pain, says Kubark, the “individual remains the determinant.” The thing that’s most clear from torture-victim studies is that you can’t train for the ordeal. There is no secret knowledge out there about how to resist torture. Yes, there are manuals, such as the IRA’s “Green Book,” the anti-Soviet “Manual for Psychiatry for Dissidents” and “Torture and the Interrogation Experience,” an Iranian guerrilla manual from the 1970s. But none of these volumes contains specific techniques of resistance, just general encouragement to hang tough. Even al-Qaida’s vaunted terrorist-training manual offers no tips about how to resist torture, and al-Qaida was no stranger to the brutal methods of the Saudi police. And yet these myths persist. “The larger problem here, I think,” one active CIA officer observed in 2005, “is that this kind of stuff just makes people feel better, even if it doesn’t work.” </p>

<p>DARIUS REJALI <br />
Saturday, Dec. 15, 2007<br />
Darius Rejali is a professor of political science at Reed College. He is the author of the recently published <br />
“Torture and Democracy.” </p>]]>
      
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  <entry>
    <title>Nuclear Capacity Needed to Deter America</title>
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    <modified>2007-12-11T00:21:23Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-12-11T01:21:23+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.106</id>
    <created>2007-12-11T00:21:23Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">The following is not from me, but it says something very important that is, for me, transcendentally ironic. The writer&apos;s credit is at the end of the piece. &quot;The American intelligence reports’ recent assertion that Iran halted its nuclear weapons...</summary>
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      <name>Alan</name>
      
      
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    <dc:subject>Perspective</dc:subject>
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      <![CDATA[<p>The following is not from me, but it says something very important that is, for me, transcendentally ironic. The writer's credit is at the end of the piece.</p>

<p>"The American intelligence reports’ recent assertion that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 does not change anything about the current situation as long as it does not fundamentally change the minds of American policymakers. Judging from President Bush's dismissive response, this doesn't seem to be the case. The truth is, Americans do not need a pretext to continue their bullying of Iran, which is precisely why Iranians want to and in fact should build nuclear capacity. </p>

<p>The National Intelligence Estimate report is only one interesting development that seemingly reveals cracks on the American front in the bound-to-be-long history of conflict over Iran's right to nuclear armament. I am curious about how such a vague report that doesn't rule out any possibility was co-signed by all American intelligence groups and submitted to the White house in the midst of American efforts to isolate Iran internationally. It is not hard to imagine that once the report was submitted, the White House did not have much choice but to release it given the leak scandals it has faced before. Looking at this from the Middle East perspective, such a break during a time of struggle seems way too un-American. That leads me to think that there is something larger at work here.</p>

<p>I don't buy the arguments that the current American administration has learned from the failures of pre-war Iraq intelligence and that the new report reflects a change of methods for the intelligence community. In my view, the move towards relaxing intelligence assumptions is not the way Americans chose to go after 9/11 and despite the unpopularity of the Iraq war, American public opinion has not changed on tightening security. I find it hard to believe that the Bush administration's post-9/11 choice of intelligence heads chose this approach naively. All this makes me think that more than a true break in alliance, this is merely a change in tactics for the Americans. Perhaps America's post-Iraq awareness of the unpopularity of pre-emptive strikes has led them to alter their methods and combine different strategies in dealing with Iran. </p>

<p>With the uncertainty of elections looming over American policy, this report will act as the foundation of the narrative for the switch in tactics in case a Democratic president takes office. Probably, the report intends to send a message across to others involved in the conflict that America is sincere in trying soft-power; sort of a cease-fire offer. Experience tells us that declaring a cease-fire during a time of internal change is a clever yet common move. I certainly don't think America's eagerness to stop Iran should be ruled out in the shadow of this report. </p>

<p>Because recent headlines in the American press about Iran usually revolve around her nuclear ambitions, the American public tends to forget the background of the conflict with Iran. It started roughly in 1953 when a coup d'état backed by America and Britain removed the elected Prime Minister Mosaddeq in favor of America-friendly Shah of Iran. Back then, the American-British coalition did not have any reasons for ousting him, other than their stakes in Iran’s nationalized oil companies and the fact that they disagreed with Mosaddeq's ideology. Today, much remains the same except the western alliance cannot rally another coup to overthrow the current regime. It is not just that they are no more capable of it, but they have seen how badly it backfired as well. But this does not mean that they will not resort to their second favorite tool of coercion: force. In the current case, there are strong indications that the use of force is still the first option even when soft-power is also combined into the general strategy. I think Anton Chekhov's maxim that, "if a gun is hanging on the wall in the first act, it will always go off by the play's end" explains this situation pretty well. With public talk and planning of strikes on Iranian targets and with Israel's actual bombing of Syrian buildings suspected of being nuclear-research related, the gun is hung high and visible on the wall. I do not doubt it will go off. </p>

<p>On the other hand, it is worth remembering that it was not the Iranians who hung this gun on the wall and who opened the curtain for this play. After meddling with Iran’s democratic system, America tried to support secessionism there and also supported Iraq's assault on Iran. It cost millions of Iranian lives and an incredible amount of wealth. Today, United States still helps military groups destabilize Iran and slyly accuses Iran of meddling in Iraq and seeking regional domination – whereas her own aspiration for global domination is no secret to anybody.</p>

<p>Therefore I believe the Iranians should find much wider support from international community to protect themselves from this unending American aggression and the only way to do that is to have a nuclear deterrent. The greatest danger in the Middle East is American meddling. Bush's earlier remarks about assuming the Middle East was a chaotic place before American intervention were a grave distortion of truth. Without America and with its own commodity wealth, the Middle East can still be a prosperous and peaceful region."</p>

<p>Mustafa Domanic is a financial analyst at the London office of a global hedge fund. He is also an online activist and blogger. He contributes to several blogs on Turkish current affairs as well as global political issues including foreignsight.blogspot.com.<br />
</p>]]>
      
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  <entry>
    <title>Unions</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000105.html" />
    <modified>2007-11-12T12:17:53Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-11-12T13:17:53+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.105</id>
    <created>2007-11-12T12:17:53Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">With all their faults, trade unions have done more for humanity than any other organization of men that ever existed. They have done more for decency, for honesty, for education, for the betterment of the race, for the developing of...</summary>
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      <![CDATA[<p>With all their faults, trade unions have done more for humanity than any other organization of men that ever existed. They have done more for decency, for honesty, for education, for the betterment of the race, for the developing of character in men, than any other association of men.</p>

<p>Clarence Darrow</p>]]>
      
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  <entry>
    <title>Torture is wrong, the Roman Catholic perspective</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000104.html" />
    <modified>2007-11-08T19:55:42Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-11-08T20:55:42+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.104</id>
    <created>2007-11-08T19:55:42Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">Thomas J. Reese, S.J. wrote the following (full disclosure, I knew his brother when I was a boy [as if anyone cared, or even read this]): Although Hollywood is routinely condemned by conservatives as a hotbed of liberal elitists, in...</summary>
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      <![CDATA[<p><b>Thomas J. Reese, S.J. wrote the following (full disclosure, I knew his brother when I was a boy [as if anyone cared, or even read this]):</b></p>

<p>Although Hollywood is routinely condemned by conservatives as a hotbed of liberal elitists, in fact it perpetuates the American myth that violence is the way to overcome evil.</p>

<p>We grew up on cowboys and Indians, war movies and espionage thrillers that showcased the good guys beating up and killing the bad guys. And if the heroine is in danger, then the end justifies the means, any means. We all booed when the criminal tortured by Dirty Harry was released back into society by the court. We cheered when Harry blew him away. Don’t get mad, just get even.</p>

<p>The American faith in the efficacious use of violence led us astray first in Vietnam and now in Iraq. And when you are fighting an evil such as Communism or terrorism, the argument goes, any means is legitimate.</p>

<p>There are numerous reasons why torture is wrong.</p>

<p>•	Torture is a violation of U.S. and international law.</p>

<p>•	If we torture, we cannot object to the torturing of our solders and agents. This is why the U.S. military opposes torture. Senator John McCain, a victim of Vietnamese torture, speaks eloquently to this point.</p>

<p>•	Although movies and novels can create artificial scenarios where information is needed in minutes in order to avoid catastrophes, in fact these situations rarely if ever arise in real life. It would require 1) an immediately impending catastrophe, 2) a captive, 3) who actually has information, 4) that could be used to stop the catastrophe, 5) who will give accurate and timely information under torture, and 6) we are capable to putting into action a response in time to avert the disaster. The stars are rarely so aligned except on TV programs like "24."</p>

<p>•	The experts who have studied the question find that torture does not work. Information given under torture may in fact be false. People who know nothing will admit to anything and give false information to stop the pain. People who know something can lie. Other interrogation techniques provide better information both quantitatively and qualitatively.</p>

<p>•	The work of torture attracts sadists who are more interested in torturing than in getting information. These people cannot be controlled, and we cannot trust their judgments about what is appropriate. And a decent person who engages in torture soon becomes degraded by the experience. Is this a line of work you would recommend to your son or daughter? As John Paul II said, “the dignity of man is as much debased in his torturer as in the torturer’s victim.”</p>

<p>•	The history of Christian and Islamic martyrs shows that people can resist and that they become heroes to their communities when they are killed.</p>

<p>•	Torture was wrong when done by the Romans, by the Inquisition, by Queen Elizabeth, by Hitler, by Stalin and by Mao. This is not the company we wish to keep.</p>

<p>The Vatican and catholic bishops have argued strongly against the use of torture.</p>

<p>The Compendium of the Social Doctrine of the Church states that “the regulations against the use of torture, even in the case of serious crimes, must be strictly observed…. International juridical instruments concerning human rights correctly indicate a prohibition against torture as a principle which cannot be contravened under any circumstances.” It quotes John Paul II as saying, “Christ’s disciple refuses every recourse to such methods, which nothing could justify….”</p>

<p>Christians must work for the abolition of the death penalty and all forms of torture, said Cardinal Renato Martino, president of the Pontifical Council for Justice and Peace according to Catholic News Service. "Christians are called to cooperate for the defense of human rights and for the abolition of the death penalty, torture, inhuman or degrading treatment" both in wartime and in times of peace, the cardinal said. "These practices are grave crimes against the human person created in the image of God and a scandal for the human family in the 21st century," he said.</p>

<p>“Genocide, torture, and the intentional targeting of noncombatants in war or terrorist attacks are always wrong,” according to the draft of “Forming Consciences for Faithful Citizenship: A Call to Political Responsibility from the Catholic Bishops of the United States,” which will be considered by the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops at the annual meeting, November 12-15.</p>

<p>Archbishop Edwin F. O'Brien of Baltimore, who headed the U.S. Archdiocese for the Military Services for 10 years, argues that military chaplains are expected to intervene to stop torture. “Where there is an acceptance of direct killing of noncombatant civilians, for instance, there is no chaplaincy worth its name. Where torture is justified in eliciting prisoner information, chaplaincy is ineffective or nonexistent.”</p>

<p>It would be ironic and perverse for Christians, who worship a man who was tortured and killed, to use torture themselves.</p>]]>
      
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  <entry>
    <title>The Real Iraq We Knew</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000103.html" />
    <modified>2007-10-16T12:54:41Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-10-16T14:54:41+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.103</id>
    <created>2007-10-16T12:54:41Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">stolen from the Washington Post By 12 former Army captains Tuesday, October 16, 2007; 12:00 AM Today marks five years since the authorization of military force in Iraq, setting Operation Iraqi Freedom in motion. Five years on, the Iraq war...</summary>
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      <![CDATA[<p>stolen from the Washington Post</p>

<p>By 12 former Army captains<br />
Tuesday, October 16, 2007; 12:00 AM</p>

<p>Today marks five years since the authorization of military force in Iraq, setting Operation Iraqi Freedom in motion. Five years on, the Iraq war is as undermanned and under-resourced as it was from the start. And, five years on, Iraq is in shambles.</p>

<p>As Army captains who served in Baghdad and beyond, we've seen the corruption and the sectarian division. We understand what it's like to be stretched too thin. And we know when it's time to get out.</p>

<p>What does Iraq look like on the ground? It's certainly far from being a modern, self-sustaining country. Many roads, bridges, schools and hospitals are in deplorable condition. Fewer people have access to drinking water or sewage systems than before the war. And Baghdad is averaging less than eight hours of electricity a day.</p>

<p>Iraq's institutional infrastructure, too, is sorely wanting. Even if the Iraqis wanted to work together and accept the national identity foisted upon them in 1920s, the ministries do not have enough trained administrators or technicians to coordinate themselves. At the local level, most communities are still controlled by the same autocratic sheiks that ruled under Saddam. There is no reliable postal system. No effective banking system. No registration system to monitor the population and its needs.</p>

<p>The inability to govern is exacerbated at all levels by widespread corruption. Transparency International ranks Iraq as one of the most corrupt countries in the world. And, indeed, many of us witnessed the exploitation of U.S. tax dollars by Iraqi officials and military officers. Sabotage and graft have had a particularly deleterious impact on Iraq's oil industry, which still fails to produce the revenue that Pentagon war planners hoped would pay for Iraq's reconstruction. Yet holding people accountable has proved difficult. The first commissioner of a panel charged with preventing and investigating corruption resigned last month, citing pressure from the government and threats on his life.</p>

<p>Against this backdrop, the U.S. military has been trying in vain to hold the country together. Even with "the surge," we simply do not have enough soldiers and marines to meet the professed goals of clearing areas from insurgent control, holding them securely and building sustainable institutions. Though temporary reinforcing operations in places like Fallujah, An Najaf, Tal Afar, and now Baghdad may brief well on PowerPoint presentations, in practice they just push insurgents to another spot on the map and often strengthen the insurgents' cause by harassing locals to a point of swayed allegiances. Millions of Iraqis correctly recognize these actions for what they are and vote with their feet -- moving within Iraq or leaving the country entirely. Still, our colonels and generals keep holding on to flawed concepts.</p>

<p>U.S. forces, responsible for too many objectives and too much "battle space," are vulnerable targets. The sad inevitability of a protracted draw-down is further escalation of attacks -- on U.S. troops, civilian leaders and advisory teams. They would also no doubt get caught in the crossfire of the imminent Iraqi civil war.</p>

<p>Iraqi security forces would not be able to salvage the situation. Even if all the Iraqi military and police were properly trained, equipped and truly committed, their 346,000 personnel would be too few. As it is, Iraqi soldiers quit at will. The police are effectively controlled by militias. And, again, corruption is debilitating. U.S. tax dollars enrich self-serving generals and support the very elements that will battle each other after we're gone.</p>

<p>This is Operation Iraqi Freedom and the reality we experienced. This is what we tried to communicate up the chain of command. This is either what did not get passed on to our civilian leadership or what our civilian leaders chose to ignore. While our generals pursue a strategy dependent on peace breaking out, the Iraqis prepare for their war -- and our servicemen and women, and their families, continue to suffer.</p>

<p>There is one way we might be able to succeed in Iraq. To continue an operation of this intensity and duration, we would have to abandon our volunteer military for compulsory service. Short of that, our best option is to leave Iraq immediately. A scaled withdrawal will not prevent a civil war, and it will spend more blood and treasure on a losing proposition.</p>

<p>America, it has been five years. It's time to make a choice.</p>

<p>This column was written by 12 former Army captains: Jason Blindauer served in Babil and Baghdad in 2003 and 2005. Elizabeth Bostwick served in Salah Ad Din and An Najaf in 2004. Jeffrey Bouldin served in Al Anbar, Baghdad and Ninevah in 2006. Jason Bugajski served in Diyala in 2004. Anton Kemps served in Babil and Baghdad in 2003 and 2005. Kristy (Luken) McCormick served in Ninevah in 2003. Luis Carlos Montalván served in Anbar, Baghdad and Nineveh in 2003 and 2005. William Murphy served in Babil and Baghdad in 2003 and 2005. Josh Rizzo served in Baghdad in 2006. William "Jamie" Ruehl served in Nineveh in 2004. Gregg Tharp served in Babil and Baghdad in 2003 and 2005. Gary Williams served in Baghdad in 2003.</p>]]>
      
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  <entry>
    <title>Why the US doesn&apos;t have socialized medicine</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.voicemedia.net/archives/000102.html" />
    <modified>2007-06-25T20:28:24Z</modified>
    <issued>2007-06-25T22:28:24+01:00</issued>
    <id>tag:www.voicemedia.net,2007://1.102</id>
    <created>2007-06-25T20:28:24Z</created>
    <summary type="text/plain">The following is stolen from attaturk: Working for The Man So as I mentioned, I saw &quot;Sicko.&quot; But even before I saw it, I&apos;d been thinking about why we still don&apos;t have universal health care. I know the insurance companies...</summary>
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    <dc:subject>Domestic Policy</dc:subject>
    <content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.voicemedia.net/">
      <![CDATA[<p>The following is stolen from attaturk:</p>

<p>Working for The Man</p>

<p>So as I mentioned, I saw "Sicko." But even before I saw it, I'd been thinking about why we still don't have universal health care. I know the insurance companies and the AMA are powerful lobbies, but I think there's more to it than that This is what I came up with.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>The vast majority of working Americans are at-will employees.1 Roughly, that means that they -- or their boss -- can terminate their employment relationship for any reason, or for no reason. There are exceptions, of course. Employers can't fire someone in violation of federal, state, or local anti-discrimination statutes. There are protections for whistleblowers. And some states recognize what's called an implied covenant of good faith and fair dealing that precludes firing someone for anything other than just cause. </p>

<p>Still, for the average at-will employee, the balance of power between you and your employer is tilted decidedly toward your employer. </p>

<p>How many times have you heard a fellow at-will employee say, "If it weren't for the benefits, I'd quit this job." By "benefits" they invariably mean their group health insurance policy, which, by contrast to people who buy medical insurance on their own, is a bargain. </p>

<p>Now what if those medical benefits were uncoupled from your at-will employment relationship? What if you could quit that job because you'd saved a little money, enough to keep you afloat while you looked for a new job? What if you didn't have to worry that you'd have to shell out anywhere from $400 (for an individual) to $1,200 (for a family) per month in health insurance premiums while you looked for a better gig, or one without a psycho boss, or one doing what you really wanted to do, or one in a new city or state, or one that was just different? </p>

<p>You'd be a lot more free now, wouldn't you? You'd certainly feel more free because you'd have one less (huge) thing to worry about. </p>

<p>In "Sicko" Moore mentions the benefits (to employers) of a frightened population of employees. If you're terrified of losing your job (and most people I know fear losing their jobs primarily because of "the benefits") you are a lot less likely to tell a bullying boss to knock it off, to say "I'm going home" after working late four nights in a row, to ask for a raise when you deserve it, and to stand up for yourself in the face of all sorts of small indignities that can come along with work. </p>

<p>There's a reason we don't have universal health coverage and I suspect it has at least something to do with the fact that the vast majority of Americans are at-will employees than it does any of the other reasons people say universal health coverage won't work here.</p>

<p>1Government, union, and contract employees are not at-will employees.</p>

<p>http://haloscan.com/tb/attaturk/8442425468292189848</p>]]>
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